Huffingtonpost iconHuffingtonpostAug 31, 2026 ~1 min source read

Labour On Course To Win General Election But Lose Commons Majority

Andy Burnham and his wife Marie-France van Heel outside 10 Downing Street on the day he became prime minister. Labour would win a general election if it was held now – but lose more than 150 MPs and the party's huge Commons majority.

Labour On Course To Win General Election But Lose Commons Majority

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Andy Burnham and his wife Marie-France van Heel outside 10 Downing Street on the day he became prime minister.

Labour would win a general election if it was held now – but lose more than 150 MPs and the party's huge Commons majority.

However, he would be forced to do deals with other parties to govern after falling well short of a majority in parliament.

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The useful part

Andy Burnham and his wife Marie-France van Heel outside 10 Downing Street on the day he became prime minister. Labour would win a general election if it was held now – but lose more than 150 MPs and the party's huge Commons majority. However, he would be forced to do deals with other parties to govern after falling well short of a majority in parliament.

How it works

  • Burnham could call a snap election within months to capitalise on Labour's resurgence under his leadership.
  • A poll of polls by Election Maps UK puts Labour on 26%, with Reform on 24% and the Conservatives on 20%.

Details worth keeping

Reform would come second on 128 seats, one ahead of the Tories on 127. The Lib Dems would win 73 seats, the SNP would surge to 41, with...

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