Philstockworld iconPhilstockworldSep 2, 2026 ~4 min source read

Which U.S. Jobs Are Likely to Grow or Shrink by 2035, According to BLS Projections

Federal projections show the U.S. will add roughly 5.9 million jobs from 2025 to 2035, but automation and changing demand mean some occupations will expand fast while others decline.

US jobs most likely to grow or shrink in the next decade. See list

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Useful takeaways from this story.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 5.9 million net new jobs between 2025 and 2035, a 3.5% increase in total employment.

Jobs in health care and technology are expected to account for many of the fastest-growing occupations.

Automation and digitization are projected to reduce employment in several routine, transaction-focused roles, including cashiers.

# Overview

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that total employment will rise by about 5.9 million jobs between 2025 and 2035, an increase of roughly 3.5%. Those gains are not spread evenly across the economy. New federal projections indicate growth concentrated in health and technology-related occupations, while certain routine, customer-facing, and transactional jobs face declines as automation reshapes tasks.

# What the headline numbers mean

A 3.5% increase in total employment over a decade is slower than the expansion recorded in the prior decade. That slower pace reflects demographic trends, productivity changes, and growing adoption of automation and software that can substitute for some routine tasks.

# Which sectors are likely to grow

Health care and technology appear repeatedly in coverage of the BLS projections. Health care occupations—such as nurses and other patient-care roles—are expected to be among the fastest-growing groups because of population aging and ongoing demand for medical services. Technology-oriented jobs that support software development, data analysis, and deployment of new systems are also projected to expand.

Other occupations tied to clean-energy deployment and specialized technical installation have been highlighted by related reporting as areas with strong growth, reflecting investment trends outside the healthcare and IT arenas.

# Which jobs are likely to shrink

# Why some jobs grow while others shrink

  • Demand-side shifts: Aging populations increase demand for health services and caregivers. Policy and consumer choices can change demand for energy and technical services.
  • Technology adoption: Automation, AI, and software make some routine tasks faster and cheaper without a human operator.
  • Productivity and business models: Firms reorganize work and staffing around new tools and channels, which changes the mix of needed skills.

# Practical implications

Workers and career planners should focus on skills that are complementary to technology: clinical skills, advanced technical and digital skills, complex problem solving, and occupations that require human judgment and interpersonal interaction. Employers and policymakers should expect ongoing labor reallocation and consider training and reskilling programs for workers in declining occupations.

# Bottom line

BLS projections show modest net job growth through 2035 concentrated in health care, technology, and certain technical trades. At the same time, automation and changing business models are likely to shrink employment in some routine, transaction-oriented roles. The result is a labor market with clear pockets of expanding opportunity and areas where workers will face pressure to transition or upskill.

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