Midterms: Peril for Trump, Senate in Play

The useful part

Michael Tomasky of The New Republic predicts a "tidal wave" against Trump in this fall's midterms. Gerrymandering will mute the bloodbath Trump deserves, and might save his party in one or both chambers of Congress, but Tomasky has successfully defied the conventional wisdom in the past:... The Republicans, in the majority already, were surely going to pick up another 20, 30 seats.

How it works

• This year, that same olfactory sense is telling me, dare I write it, that November 3 may be even worse for the Republicans than the conventional wisdom now predicts.
• I just sniffed the zeitgeist and sensed the conventional wisdom was dead wrong (in the end, the Democrats gained five House seats that year).
• There are three groups of voters who matter in this election, and each of them is going to punish Trump severely.
• [bold added] Tomasky is, of course, a leftist, so you'll get the obligatory psychological projection and con...