# What happened NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information reported that the 48 contiguous United States posted the warmest August, warmest summer (June–August), and warmest year-to-date (January–August) in 131 years of national recordkeeping. The monthly, seasonal, and year-to-date averages all exceeded previous records, in some cases by unusually large margins.
# Where the heat was strongest A broad swath of the western U.S. recorded its warmest year on record. The Four Corners states—Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah—all saw their warmest summers on record. Across the 48 states, March and July were also record-warm in 2026. Temperatures through the lowest few miles of the atmosphere (the lower troposphere) set records for the warmest summer and warmest year-to-date as well.
- August 2026: 48-state average temperature of 75.58°F, 0.54°F warmer than the previous warmest August (1983).
- Summer 2026 (June–August): 48-state average of 74.37°F, 0.39°F warmer than the summers of 1936 and 2021.
- Year-to-date (Jan–Aug 2026): 48-state average of 57.98°F, 0.08°F above the previous record-holding year to date (2012).
# Precipitation and drought picture Precipitation through August showed a mixed pattern but leaned dry overall. For the 48 states combined, year-to-date precipitation of 18.56 inches was more than 10% below the long-term average, making it the 13th-driest January–August period in 132 years. The U.S. Drought Monitor (Sept. 1) reported 79% of the contiguous U.S. as abnormally dry and 59% in some form of drought—levels close to the highest values seen since the Monitor began in 2000.
Lake Mead and Lake Powell, the two largest reservoirs on the Colorado River system, were at very low storage levels as of early September, reaching their lowest combined levels since they were filled in the late 20th century.
# Wildfire surge in 2026 Through Sept. 8, the U.S. had recorded 53,665 wildfires that burned 8,397,760 acres—both figures the largest to date for any year since at least 2016 in the National Interagency Fire Center's online records. The season included the largest wildfire in Nebraska history (the Morrill Fire, >640,000 acres) and the largest in Oregon history to date (the Big Grass Fire, >578,000 acres). Total acreage burned this year is about 30% above the 10-year average.
# What may influence the months ahead
# Bottom line 2026 produced multiple national heat records across different time scales, concentrated in the West and Southwest. The warm conditions, below-average precipitation overall, record-low reservoir levels, and a large wildfire footprint have combined to produce immediate stresses on water and land management. The upcoming El Niño raises the possibility of wetter conditions for parts of the country this winter, but deeper water-supply challenges will remain even if rainfall improves.