Labour's Huge Commons Majority Would Be Wiped Out In Snap Election

The useful part

Labour would lose its huge Commons majority if Andy Burnham were to call a snap election, according to new analysis. A calculation based on the latest opinion polls shows Labour would be by far the largest in the House of Commons with 253 MPs. That would be 150 fewer than they have at the moment, and leave the party 73 seats short of an overall majority.

How it works

• The forecast, by Election Maps UK, shows Reform UK coming second with 136 seats – 128 more than they have now – if an election were held tomorrow.
• However, the Election Maps UK analysis suggests he would need to do a deal with another party, most likely the Lib Dems, in order to govern.
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• At the moment, Burnham has a working Commons majority of 166.
• The Tories would be third with 101 seats, 17 fewer than they currently have.

What to take from it

Although Burnham does not need to call an election until 2029, speculation continues at Westminster that he could be tempted to do so next spring. Supporters of the move say he should capitalise on the boost in support Labour has enjoyed since he replaced Keir Starmer as prime minister. An election victory would also give Burnham his own mandate, and another five years in power.

Details worth keeping

Andy Burnham leaves 10 Downing Street last week.