The AAMC (yes, the trade association of organizations that train physicians) and HRSA models take current per-capita utilization and just multiply by demographic projections. They basically define demand as "what patients did in 2020, forever" times population projections.
The AAMC (yes, the trade association of organizations that train physicians) and HRSA models take current per-capita utilization and just multiply by demographic projections.
They basically define demand as "what patients did in 2020, forever" times population projections.
All of which is invisible to the healthcare system, because the system only counts the activity that walks in the door — not the activity that isn't coming anymore.
The page is ready to read now. The fuller skim-friendly version will appear here automatically.
The AAMC (yes, the trade association of organizations that train physicians) and HRSA models take current per-capita utilization and just multiply by demographic projections. They basically define demand as "what patients did in 2020, forever" times population projections. All of which is invisible to the healthcare system, because the system only counts the activity that walks in the door — not the activity that isn't coming anymore.
Every projection here assumes demand is rising, or at least holding. Neither has a variable for changes in demand.
Open the app view to save this story, compare related coverage, and continue from the same source.