Skepticalscience iconSkepticalscienceSep 17, 2026 ~1 min source read

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #38 2026

This absence risks systematic underestimation of projected future warming and overestimation of remaining carbon budgets. Using the MAGICC climate model, we projected that WIE could add 0.2 °C–0.4 °C of warming by 2100 across scenarios, split roughly equally between carbon dioxide and methane, amplifying post-2020 anthropogenic warming by 20%–30%.

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #38 2026

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This absence risks systematic underestimation of projected future warming and overestimation of remaining carbon budgets.

Using the MAGICC climate model, we projected that WIE could add 0.2 °C–0.4 °C of warming by 2100 across scenarios, split roughly equally between carbon dioxide and methane, amplifying post-2020...

Combined emission sensitivity and climate response 1σ uncertainties are ±0.2 °C on the added warming and ±10%–30% on the warming amplification.

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The useful part

This absence risks systematic underestimation of projected future warming and overestimation of remaining carbon budgets. Using the MAGICC climate model, we projected that WIE could add 0.2 °C–0.4 °C of warming by 2100 across scenarios, split roughly equally between carbon dioxide and methane, amplifying post-2020 anthropogenic warming by 20%–30%. Combined emission sensitivity and climate response 1σ uncertainties are ±0.2 °C on the added warming and ±10%–30% on the warming amplification.

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  • Interpreting Ensembles of Climate Projections for Impact Studies, Chandler & Brierley, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change <s...

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