Blogspot iconBlogspotSep 24, 2026 ~1 min source read

Super El Niño Ties Record Months Before Peak; Scientists Warn of Severe Global Impacts

The anomaly was measured months before forecasters expect the event to peak in November and December, when researchers project it could reach 4.0°C above average. Organization has established that any temperature increase above 0.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region is considered a regular El Niño, while anything over 2°C is classified as a super El Niño, according to The New York Post.

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The anomaly was measured months before forecasters expect the event to peak in November and December, when researchers project it could reach 4.0°C above average.

Zeke Hausfather, a climate researcher whose analysis of 14 climate models appeared in Carbon Brief, told Phys.org that September is "very likely to have the highest monthly anomalies on record." If his...

Organization has established that any temperature increase above 0.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region is considered a regular El Niño, while anything over 2°C is classified as a super El Niño, according to The New...

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The anomaly was measured months before forecasters expect the event to peak in November and December, when researchers project it could reach 4.0°C above average. Organization has established that any temperature increase above 0.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region is considered a regular El Niño, while anything over 2°C is classified as a super El Niño, according to The New York Post. The current anomaly of 3.07°C places this event well above the super El Niño threshold.

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  • Hausfather's analysis draws on how much daily sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region exceed the 30-year average.
  • Zeke Hausfather, a climate researcher whose analysis of 14 climate models appeared in Carbon Brief, told Phys.org that September is "very likely to have the highest monthly anomalies on record." If his...
  • Meteorologist Ben Noll of the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research said the latest ECMWF outlook indicates a 75% chance of a super El Niño by October, "with some scenarios suggesting the...

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