# What's happening now Greece is entering a prolonged, unpredictable election season with national polls due no later than mid-2027. The political contest effectively began at this year's Thessaloniki International Fair (TIF), where the leaders of the three largest parties laid out different visions aimed at an electorate that is economically squeezed and politically skeptical.
# Leaders and their pitches
- Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (New Democracy) announced a €2.2 billion package of tax adjustments, targeted relief and social support, framed as a sign Greece can now redistribute surpluses rather than make cuts. New Democracy presents the package as fiscally responsible.
- Alexis Tsipras, leader of the recently formed Greek Left Alliance (ELAS), positioned himself as the main progressive alternative. He criticized the government on inflation, institutional decline and everyday pressures, and offered a platform costed at €7.4 billion over four years.
- PASOK chief Nikos Androulakis proposed a governing plan focused on institutional renewal, market regulation, labor protections, housing policy and a new development model. He insisted he would not be pigeonholed into preannounced coalition scenarios.
These presentations set the terms for a long campaign. Each leader is trying to win over voters who remain unconvinced by current political options.
# What the polling shows A proprietary ProMacro_Scope survey and indexes used in the reporting convey a stable macroeconomic picture but weak household-level sentiment:
- Personal finances: 4.7/10.
- Ease of covering household needs: 4.6/10.
- Trust in economic institutions: 4.1/10.
- View of the national economy: 3.7/10.
Social and institutional confidence is lower. The Social Climate Index stands at 3.2/10, unchanged. Trust in civil society institutions is 2.4/10, while trust in Parliament and the justice system is near historic lows. Small businesses and the army are exceptions with relatively higher confidence.
# What voters care about When asked to list the three most important problems facing the country, respondents prioritized:
- Cost of living: cited by 75% of respondents.
- Justice, corruption and transparency: 50%.
- Low wages and poor working conditions: 26%.
On foreign policy, voters show caution: 51% favor complete neutrality in the US‑Iran conflict, many prefer legal or EU-based approaches to Greek‑Turkish disputes, and 42% support increasing defense spending but with calibrated responses rather than escalation.
# The electoral map and turnout risk Polling suggests a brittle electorate. New Democracy has the largest share of "certain" voters (those rating their likelihood to vote for a party 8–10) at 19%, plus 7.5% categorized as "possible" voters. ELAS, formed in May, has quickly become the second force. The combination of voter skepticism, low institutional trust and a large body of disengaged voters creates uncertainty about the outcome and highlights turnout as a decisive factor.
# Why this matters The campaign will test whether parties can translate macroeconomic stability into tangible improvements for households and regain public trust in institutions. With leaders staking distinct policy claims and voters focused on everyday pressures, the election will hinge on credibility, concrete cost-of-living relief, and whether parties can mobilize or win back disaffected voters.