NFL Week 3 Anytime Touchdown Bets: Henry, Judkins, St. Brown

# Quick read PFF's Week 3 anytime touchdown recommendations focus on matchups that create clear scoring opportunities rather than purely on star power. The three plays are Derrick Henry, Quinshon Judkins and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Each selection links a player's role on goal-line or red-zone snaps with defensive tendencies that make touchdowns more likely.

# Why these matters for anytime TD bets

# The picks and the logic

• Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens
• Context: Dallas allowed 24 rushing touchdowns last season and ranked 31st in rush EPA allowed. In 2026 Henry already has three rushing touchdowns and three carries inside the 5-yard line.

• Game setup: Baltimore is a 3.5-point favorite with a 52.5-point game total — the slate's highest — which suggests scoring opportunities and likely goal-line work for Henry.

• Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns
• Context: Carolina surrendered six rushing touchdowns through the first two games of the season and allowed 20 last year. Their run defense ranked 24th in rush EPA allowed last season.

• Takeaway: Judkins offers goal-line upside against a defense that has repeatedly allowed rushing scores early in 2026.

• Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
• Context: St. Brown averaged 2.54 yards per route run last season (sixth among qualifiers) and 2.41 yards per route run versus man coverage, with a 29.7% target rate. Early in 2026 he's averaging 5.85 yards per route run against man coverage.
• Opponent: The Jets rank in the top 10 in man-coverage rate early this season and were among the highest in man rate last year.
• Role and game setup: Detroit is a 6.5-point favorite in a 47.5-point game total, creating red-zone pass volume where Jared Goff often targets St. Brown.

# Tools mentioned PFF references two tools that help bettors evaluate player TD markets: the First TD Finder for first-touchdown markets and the Player Prop Tool for anytime touchdown odds analysis.

# Bottom line The three recommended plays are volume-plus-matchup bets: Henry and Judkins because of heavy goal-line usage against run defenses that have allowed multiple rushing TDs, and St. Brown because of strong per-route production against a team that frequently plays man coverage. These bets work best when the player's role creates repeat red-zone or short-yardage opportunities and the opponent shows clear defensive weakness in those spots.