Forecasters say UK could see an Indian summer in early October with temperatures up to 25°C

# What the forecast says Weather charts and long-range guidance point to a warm, calm spell of weather early in October, centered on October 6. Forecasters show temperatures climbing well above average for the time of year — as high as 25°C in some places. The Met Office defines an "Indian summer" as a warm, calm spell occurring in autumn, especially in October and November.

# Where it will be warmest The warmest areas are likely to be the South East and East of England. Forecast details in the article suggest:

• South East and East of England: potential highs up to 25°C around October 6.
• Midlands and parts of East Anglia: likely to hit 23–24°C.
• Northern England cities, including Manchester: around 20°C, which is above average for October.
• Most of Scotland: temperatures expected in the mid-to-high teens.

These figures contrast with average October temperatures, which the report notes usually struggle to exceed about 17°C even in London and the South East.

# Why the warmth could happen The Met Office long-range forecast cited in the piece says high pressure is expected to build. That pattern tends to bring drier, calmer conditions and lighter winds. The forecast also warns that the speed and placement of the high — whether focused further north or south — is finely balanced, so timing and regional details could shift.

# Recent context and local effects September on a warm note: 22.8°C was recorded at Kew Gardens and 22.1°C at Cavendish in Suffolk. If early October follows suit, the article suggests short-term social and economic effects:

• Outdoor-focused businesses (ice cream sellers, punt hire, pubs with gardens) could see a late boost in trade.
• Some people may choose UK staycations over short-haul winter sun destinations, since forecast temperatures for Tenerife, Lanzarote and Gran Canaria are expected in the mid to high-20s, similar to the warm UK spell.

# Notes on definition and origin The Met Office glossary (first published 1916) defines an Indian summer as a warm, calm spell in autumn. The term was used earlier in North America: John de Crèvecoeur used it in a 1778 letter describing warm intervals after rain. The UK had other names for similar late-warm spells, such as "Saint Martin's summer," linked to warm weather around St Martin's Day (November 11).

# What to watch next

# Bottom line Models are indicating a plausible brief warm spell around October 6 that would qualify as an Indian summer by the Met Office definition. The south and east of England stand to be warmest, with above-average temperatures more widely across the UK — but precise timing and regional details could change as the high-pressure pattern evolves.