Bitcoinmagazine iconBitcoinmagazineSep 30, 2026 ~3 min source read

Bitcoin Jumps 40% in Quarter After U.S. Treasury Debt Buyback Announcement

A Treasury plan to expand government debt repurchases coincided with a 40% quarterly rise in bitcoin, shifting investor sentiment as yields and the dollar moved.

Bitcoin Surges 40% in Its Best Quarter Since Late 2024

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Bitcoin rose about 40% over the past quarter, its strongest quarterly performance since Q4 2024.

The rally accelerated after the U.S. Treasury announced an expanded debt buyback program on Aug. 19, coinciding with roughly a 30% gain since that date.

Lower long-term yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like bitcoin, a factor cited for the rally even as yields remained elevated.

# What happened

Bitcoin posted a roughly 40% gain over the last quarter, its best quarterly performance since the fourth quarter of 2024. The rally picked up pace after Aug. 19, when the U.S. Treasury said it would more than double the size of its government debt repurchases.

Price checks in the article showed bitcoin trading near $83,698, flat over 24 hours and up 6% over 30 days. Since the Treasury announcement, the coin was up close to 30.

# Why the Treasury move mattered

The Treasury's plan is intended to try to lower bond yields, which had climbed to levels not seen since the 2000s. Lower long-term yields make non-yielding assets such as bitcoin and gold relatively more attractive because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding those assets.

Market participants treated the announcement as supportive for risk-on assets. Even though yields have remained high, bitcoin continued to move higher and the dollar has weakened, supporting so-called "debasement" hedging flows after U.S. total debt topped $40 trillion in July.

# Technical and market context

# How other macro factors fit in

Two macro drivers in the article are emphasized:

  • Currency weakness: A slipping dollar encouraged flows into assets that investors view as hedges against currency debasement.

# What this implies now

The combination of a Treasury intervention aimed at the bond market, a weakening dollar, inflows into crypto vehicles, and a key moving-average crossover point offers a plausible explanation for the quarter's strength. Those factors do not guarantee further gains, but they explain why investors and traders responded positively in recent weeks.

# Bottom line

Bitcoin's 40% quarterly gain stands out because it came amid persistent high yields and unresolved regulatory issues. The Treasury's announcement on debt repurchases coincided with an acceleration in price gains, and a commonly watched 365-day moving average now sits beneath the market — a condition CryptoQuant associates with past bull-market entries.

Traders and investors should watch yields, dollar strength, and whether price holds above the recent technical thresholds for clues about near-term momentum.

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