Investmentmoats iconInvestmentmoatsSep 8, 2026 ~3 min source read

Singapore small caps lagged large caps recently, but long-term picture is mixed

An analysis comparing the MSCI Singapore Index (16 stocks) with the MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index (58 stocks) shows large-cap banks drove strong recent returns, while small caps have outperformed over the full 1999–Aug 2026 period.

The Singapore Small Caps as a Aggregate not doing as well as the Large Caps.

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From Jan 1999 to Aug 2026 the MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index returned 10.1% p.a., slightly ahead of the MSCI Singapore Index’s 9.0% p.a.

Over recent horizons (1–10 years through Aug 2026) the MSCI Singapore large-cap index materially outperformed the small-cap index, with year-to-date and 1–3 year returns dominated by a handful of large banks.

Past relative performance is not permanent: short-term leaders can lag over multi-decade spans, and investors should avoid assuming recent outperformance will persist indefinitely.

The useful part

Since last year was pretty good for a lot of small cap stocks, I thought the performance of the MSCI Singapore small cap index would be much better than the MSCI Singapore index. For reference, the MSCI Singapore index is a 16-stock index unlike the Straits Times index. Here is the current holdings of the 58-stock MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index:

How it works

  • I think some may use this data to either emphasize only blue chips are investable or that you have to pick stocks.
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  • September 25, 2026 GGRA has not worked so well in my Portfolio so far.

What to take from it

Time Period MSCI Singapore Returns MSCI Singapore Small Cap Returns Year to date 26.9% 4.5% Last 1 year 27.8% 9.1% Last 2 year 37.0% p.a. I think be open to the idea that there isn't much permanence in the market. As some are review at this point, they may be disappointed with their choices not to be heavy in SGX, DBS, OCBC.

Example or evidence

  • It is a wise decision if SGX, DBS, OCBC are the unicorn stocks that would always do better than the rest.
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Details worth keeping

If you are not in Singapore blue chips you have badly lagged. If you look at the 27-year result, the small cap actually did better. At the same time, some may find it wise to respect the base rate.

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